An experienced Primary & Secondary Maths teacher. Enjoying promoting and sharing my resources on TES. I embed problem solving, Maths Mastery and Magenta Principles into my lessons. I love fun and interactive elements which help engagement as long as challenge and assessment is built into this. Please do leave reviews if you find my resources useful. Thank you.

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Originally I used this as a short 10 minute activity as part of a whole lesson of many circus activities (many other of my circus activities are listed on TES resources) however you can easily build a whole lesson around it.

"Will it snow this Christmas?" is the question. First just ask this question. Then give them the last five years weather data. Make a choice again. Then give more data from last 24 years. Then ask them to make a choice again. Then give them the answer sheet.

This is a good activity to provide lots of discussion. If you put the cards into sealed envelopes then it adds to the engagement and hence motivation. Its the sort of activity which looks great when being observed - particularly if you get some good discussion. You may wish to edit the city names to somewhere near your school. I made up the data but you could easily find the records of a city on the web. You may need a discussion about what constitutes snowing on Christmas day (e.g. snow flakes falling on the roof of the local BBC news building). You could bring in about how people bet on this happening.

It may be worth adding in some question prompts like:

How do you know this?
Why do you think that?
Are you absolutely sure? Can you prove it?
Can you now explain to me why you think that!
What evidence do you have about that one?

You could put these prompts onto cards and ensure the students use them during the activity.


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