Elite universities would need to make offers to pupils with low grades or no academic qualifications in order to hit current social mobility targets, a new report suggests.

The report from the Russell Group, published today, says that places for advantaged pupils would also need to be capped in order to meet targets for improving the proportion of disadvantaged students studying at higher-tariff institutions.

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The report - Pathways for Potential - published today, says that long-term targets set by the Office for Students (OfS) to “eliminate gaps in access to selective universities over the next two decades” will not be met “without sustained efforts to address the social, cultural and economic issues which underpin these gaps, as well as embedded inequalities across the education system”.

“To reach the targets, selective universities would have to recruit large numbers of students with very low grades and many with no academic qualifications at all, and places for students from groups who are already highly represented would need to be capped,” the report says.

It argues that a national strategy is needed in order to ensure more disadvantaged young people can attend top universities, and calls on the government to make National Pupil Database information easier for universities to access so that they can monitor the progress of the least advantaged pupils prior to application. 

A report from the Russell Group, which represents 24 universities including Oxford and Cambridge, suggests its members would be required to recruit all applicants from the most under-represented areas with three A levels, regardless of the grades they achieved, by 2026 to meet the target set by the OfS.

And by 2035, they would need to recruit all applicants from the most under-represented areas regardless of whether they have studied academic qualifications, according to the report.  

The OfS, the higher education regulator, has called on the top universities across the country to significantly reduce the gap between disadvantaged young people and their more advantaged peers taking degree places - or face possible financial penalties.

It has set a target to eliminate the access gap to the most selective universities between students from the most under-represented areas in the country and those from the most represented areas by 2039-40.

The Russell Group report published today - which considers the actions needed to accelerate progress in widening access to university - calls for the government to create a new Office for Tackling Inequality and launch a new 10-year national strategy to join up efforts across government departments and all relevant stakeholders.

Tim Bradshaw, chief executive of the Russell Group, said: “Russell Group universities will continue to do their part but breaking down the barriers created by educational inequality that start early in life is not a job for universities alone.”

Professor Anna Vignoles, professor of education at the University of Cambridge, said: “If we are to widen participation to higher education in the long run, it is vital that we do all we can to try to narrow the socio-economic gap in attainment earlier on in  children’s schooling.

“A focus on admissions and outreach is important but without investment in the earlier period of a child’s life, we are unlikely to see as much progress in widening participation.”

Geoff Barton, general secretary of the Association of School and College Leaders (ASCL), said: “High-ranking universities can and must improve access to disadvantaged young people, and they have made steps in this direction through approaches such as contextual offers.

“However, the Russell Group is right that this issue cannot be solved by focusing solely on university admissions and that a wider strategy is required to tackle inequality.

“This needs to involve both education policies, such as more investment in high-quality early years education, and social policies to tackle issues like poverty, the availability of secure employment, and support for struggling families.”

Chris Millward, director for fair access and participation at the OfS, said: “There has been clear progress in opening up opportunities to study at the most selective universities, but where you come from continues significantly to determine where you end up.

“There is still a long way to go before these opportunities are genuinely available across all parts of the country.”

Universities minister Michelle Donelan said: “Working with their communities, schools and colleges, our world class universities play a vital role in levelling up opportunities for everyone and in helping to unleash the brilliant potential across our country.

“It is more crucial than ever before that we tap into the brilliant talent that our country has to offer, and make sure that anyone who wants to, whatever their background or wherever they come from, is given the chance to go to university.”