Analysis: Election school funding pledges unspun

The Institute for Fiscal Studies explains how much money the political parties are really pledging for schools – when inflation is taken into account
21st November 2019, 5:42pm

Share

Analysis: Election school funding pledges unspun

https://www.tes.com/magazine/archive/analysis-election-school-funding-pledges-unspun
School Funding Pledges Unspun

Analysis from the respected Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) reveals Labour’s pledge of an extra £10.5 billion for schools over the next three years only amounts to £7.5 billion when inflation is taken into account.

However, it is still more than the Conservatives’ pledge of £7.1 billion, which amounts to £4.3 billion in real terms between next year and 2022-23.

And it is more than the Lib Dems’ pledge of £9.1 billion by 2022-23, which amounts to £5.6 billion in real terms.


Exclusive: School funds no longer key issue, say Tories

WATCH: Head’s dilemma - Cut 20 TAs vs a 4.5-day week?

Lib Dems pledge: 20,000 more teachers and an extra £10bn


Describing his findings, IFS research fellow Luke Sibieta said: “I think it kind of reflects the overall pattern that Labour are putting in more money for public services. It tells you their priority is public services.”

He said both the Lib Dem and Conservative amounts were sufficient to reverse the real-terms cuts to school funding (of around 8 per cent) since 2009, with the Lib Dems offering slightly more.

However, he said the Labour plans provided a 15 per cent increase in spending per pupil between now and 2022, which was “an extremely significant rise” and that it  allowed for some “significant increases” in school spending, including a rise in teacher pay.

He said the 5 per cent teacher pay rise pledged in today’s Labour manifesto could cost more than £3 billion, but did not want to comment on how much a Conservative pay award for teachers could cost until further details were released.

Mr Sibieta said both the Conservatives and Labour had each double- and triple-counted in the funding figures they initially put out - with the Conservatives citing £14 billion and Labour citing £25 billion - and he said he was “staying clear of those amounts”. 

Want to keep reading for free?

Register with Tes and you can read two free articles every month plus you'll have access to our range of award-winning newsletters.

Keep reading for just £1 per month

You've reached your limit of free articles this month. Subscribe for £1 per month for three months and get:

  • Unlimited access to all Tes magazine content
  • Exclusive subscriber-only stories
  • Award-winning email newsletters
Recent
Most read
Most shared